Ending with the appreciation of the yen could have?
Validation phase $1 80 yen, fell below 90 yen, 100 yen
From this time interrupted $1 80 $ 7/12 currency and stocks is interrupting good said the turning point and cut prices like rushed 78 Yen in one day price action to accelerate said. I tried analyzing how dollar Yen assumed until when fell in turning point for the dollar-Yen there $ 1 80 yen, $ 1 90 yen and 100 yen to buy dollars and unrealized gains/losses reaching 10% ownership, to validate, came off the milestone past worked for. Validation criteria are as follows:
Validation criteria
Validation period n/a /2011
Buy rules: exchange rates are $ 1 ¥ 80, 90 yen, 100 yen when 100-day lows below and past updates
Selling rules: contains 10% of income is more than
Let’s look at the results of validation when first cut $ 1 80 yen.
Case $1 80 Yen off
Source: master of the trade system
Winning rate: n/a %
Winning number: 2 times
Lose 0 times of:
Draw number: 0 times
Average number of days retention only ) ( exit has been held: 54.50,
Period divided by the $1 80 yen and 95, Super Yen appreciation plaques have only 3/2011. That is 100% winning percentage. Because appreciation has advanced in a short time both in phase two of past rebounds and minutes as soon as possible the average holding period is approximately 55 days. Let’s look at a case then cut the 90 yen.
Case 1 90 Yen Hung
Source: master of the trade system
60.0% Winning percentage:
Winning number: 3 times
Loser two times of:
Draw number: 0 times
Average number of days retention only ) ( exit has been held: n/a ,
Phase 1 90 Yen to five times past, now the result was 60% winning percentage. Noteworthy here is the average number of retention days. Is to say approximately 122, period until level 10% of foreign exchange movement say the 122, and average number of retention days it took. Now the results that until the trend of foreign exchange changes to unexpectedly so time-consuming. Finally let’s look at the validation results fell below 100 yen.
Case 100 yen off
Source: master of the trade system
57.14% Winning percentage:
Winning number: 4 times
Lose 3 times of:
Draw number: 0 times
Average number of days retention only ) ( exit has been held: n/a ,
Past seven times and phases below 100 yen, 4 WINS, 3 losses that result. Until trend conclusion arrives long and 156, average retention days even near half a year now and the results took. To consider the appreciation phase of validation results so far…
-Winning percentage is slightly higher is thought forward and 10% appreciation from $1 80 Yen forward thinking than 10% depreciation of the (approximately 60%).
Approximately 150 days before and after the number of days depends on trends in foreign exchange settlements, get well
The think and include two points. Having position however with the position put too much may leverage until they are settled to the need of moderate duration reflecting the. I think it can be traded with the backing of figures in the analysis of the historical data like this and try to analyze let us use historical data.
Completely free free gift the free versions of stock investment software. Please try Zehi so you can practice validation of software, like this.
( about validation in this theme, trade system [guru] validating the use. Regarding the content of the article is deemed a guarantee the usefulness for the accuracy of the contents and safety, user is not. Konami official and shall not be responsible for any. Ask investment decisions at your own risk. )
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